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The Signal and the Noise

The Signal and the Noise
The Art and Science of Prediction

by Nate Silver

  • Publisher : Penguin UK
  • Release : 2012-09-27
  • Pages : 544
  • ISBN : 1846147530
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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The International Bestseller by 'The Galileo of number crunchers' (Independent) Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of 'big data' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading, useless or distracting. In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid a noise of data. 'Remarkable and rewarding' Matthew D'Ancona, Sunday Telegraph 'A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically' Guardian

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't
A Book

by Nate Silver

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2015-02-03
  • Pages : 560
  • ISBN : 9780606368056
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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The founder of FiveThirtyEight.com challenges myths about predictions in subjects ranging from the financial market and weather to sports and politics, profiling the world of prediction to explain how to distinguish true signals from hype.

The Signal and the Noise. Differentiating Stylometric Signals in the Analysis of Literary Texts

The Signal and the Noise. Differentiating Stylometric Signals in the Analysis of Literary Texts
A Book

by Judith Brottrager

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2020
  • Pages : 129
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes - The Expert Guide to Nate Silver's Critically Acclaimed Book (the 30 Minute Expert Series)

The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes - The Expert Guide to Nate Silver's Critically Acclaimed Book (the 30 Minute Expert Series)
A Book

by The 30 Minute Expert Series

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2013-03-29
  • Pages : 32
  • ISBN : 9781623151218
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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For a complete understanding of Nate Silver's Signal and the Noise, we strongly encourage you to purchase the original book titled The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--But Some Don't by Penguin Publishing Big data has arrived! Whether you're using that data to make a billion-dollar decision to merge two companies or to choose a team to win the World Series, how do you distinguish the signal (the truth) from the noise (our all-too-human impulse to make choices based on personal bias)? In his groundbreaking work The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver brings the complexities of statistics down to earth by using real-life examples of how we all make predictions and why those predictions are often wrong. The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes is your expert guide to Nate Silver's main thesis that our decision making is filtered through our personal assumptions and beliefs as opposed to the truth of the data at hand. This concise companion details: * Nate Silver's journey from forecasting Major League Baseball players' performance to predicting the outcome of U.S. presidential elections * Both praise for and critical reactions to his ideas from such noted sources as the New York Review of Books and the Wall Street Journal * Key concepts, including analyzing prediction failures, practicing Bayesian thinking, and expanding self-awareness * Key terms, such as Bayes's theorem, with easy-to-understand definitions and examples * Recommended readings and a bibliography listing additional resources analyzing Silver's work and the phenomenon of big data The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes is a timely guide to a topic that affects all our lives. From choosing stocks, to predicting wars, to making personal changes in light of climate change, The Signal and the Noise challenges both nations and individuals to make smarter choices. About the 30 Minute Expert Series Offering a concise exploration of a book's ideas, history, application, and critical reception, the 30 Minute Expert Series is designed for busy individuals interested in acquiring an in-depth understanding of seminal works. More than just a summary, the 30 Minute Expert Series offers detailed analysis, critical presentation of key ideas and their application, extensive reading lists for additional information, and a contextual understanding of the work of leading authors. Designed as a companion to the original work, the 30 Minute Expert Series enables readers to develop expert knowledge of an important work ... in 30 minutes.

Summary and Analysis of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't

Summary and Analysis of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't
Based on the Book by Nate Silver

by Worth Books

  • Publisher : Open Road Media
  • Release : 2017-01-10
  • Pages : 30
  • ISBN : 1504043693
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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So much to read, so little time? This brief overview of The Signal and the Noise tells you what you need to know—before or after you read Nate Silver’s book. Crafted and edited with care, Worth Books set the standard for quality and give you the tools you need to be a well-informed reader. This short summary and analysis of The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver includes: Historical context Chapter-by-chapter summaries Important quotes Fascinating trivia Glossary of terms Supporting material to enhance your understanding of the original work About The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver: Drawing on groundbreaking research, The Signal and the Noise, written by the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight.com, examines how data has been used in prediction and forecasting, and how to find the true signals—the points that indicate that something will happen—amidst noisy and distracting data. Addressing different fields of forecasting and predictions—from politics to earthquakes to poker—Silver explores the reasons why some things are easier to forecast, like the weather, while others are so difficult, such as terrorism. From one of the country’s smartest thinkers. The Signal and the Noise provides vital insights into how to think about probability and predictions on the economy, climate change, sports, and other subjects that impact our lives. The summary and analysis in this ebook are intended to complement your reading experience and bring you closer to a great work of nonfiction.

The Signal and the Noise... in 30 Minutes

The Signal and the Noise... in 30 Minutes
A 30 Minute Expert Summary

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2012-11
  • Pages : 46
  • ISBN : 9781623150525
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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The Signal and the Noise …in 30 Minutes is the essential guide to quickly understanding the fundamental components of prediction outlined in Nate Silver’s bestselling book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail ¬– but Some Don’t. In The Signal and the Noise bestselling author, political analyst, and statistician Nate Silver investigates the fundamentals of forecasting and answers why too much information can be misleading. Exploring a variety of fields, ranging from politics to poker to Wall Street and global warming, Silver explores why some forecasts are successful and, perhaps more telling, why so many fail. Stressing the importance of acknowledging personal bias, Silver posits that better forecasters possess a superior understanding of uncertainty and are driven by truth and humility while overconfidence can lead to failure. Presenting a framework for what constitutes a good forecast, Silver provides insight and tools for understanding how to successfully utilize Big Data and decipher meaningful signals from random noise.

Summary of Nate Silver’s The Signal and the Noise by Milkyway Media

Summary of Nate Silver’s The Signal and the Noise by Milkyway Media
A Book

by Milkyway Media

  • Publisher : Milkyway Media
  • Release : 2018-08-31
  • Pages : 38
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don’t (2012), considers the common shortcomings statisticians face when attempting to make predictions. While bad predictions can lead to setbacks and false beliefs, accurate predictions can advance scientific knowledge, government efficiency, the quality of education, and other social projects and goals… Purchase this in-depth summary to learn more.

Analysis of Nate Silver's the Signal and the Noise by Milkyway Media

Analysis of Nate Silver's the Signal and the Noise by Milkyway Media
A Book

by Milkyway Media

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2018-03-23
  • Pages : 33
  • ISBN : 9781980639534
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail -- but Some Don't (2012), considers the common shortcomings statisticians face when attempting to make predictions. While bad predictions can lead to setbacks and false beliefs, accurate predictions can advance scientific knowledge, government efficiency, the quality of education, and other social projects and goals...Purchase this in-depth analysis to learn more.

The Error Rates in Multiple FSK Systems and the Signal-to-noise Characteristics of FM and PCM-FS Systems

The Error Rates in Multiple FSK Systems and the Signal-to-noise Characteristics of FM and PCM-FS Systems
A Book

by Hiroshi Akima

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 1963
  • Pages : 55
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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The Signal and the Noise

The Signal and the Noise
Contemporary Challenges for Barbados and Beyond

by Dr. Violet Eudine Barriteau

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2014
  • Pages : 60
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Signals and Systems for Bioengineers

Signals and Systems for Bioengineers
A MATLAB-based Introduction

by John L. Semmlow

  • Publisher : Academic Press
  • Release : 2012
  • Pages : 591
  • ISBN : 0123849829
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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This book guides the reader through the electrical engineering principles that can be applied to biological systems and are therefore important to biomedical studies. The basic engineering concepts that underlie biomedical systems, medical devices, biocontrol, and biosignal analysis are explained in detail. This textbook is perfect for the one-semester bioengineering course usually offered in conjunction with a laboratory on signals and measurements which presents the fundamentals of systems and signal analysis. The target course occupies a pivotal position in the bioengineering curriculum and will play a critical role in the future development of bioengineering students. There are extensive questions and problems that are available through a companion site to enhance the learning experience. New to this edition: Reorganized to emphasize signal and system analysis Increased coverage of time-domain signal analysis Expanded coverage of biomeasurement, using examples in ultrasound and electrophysiology New applications in biocontrol, with examples from physiological systems modeling such as the respiratory system Double the number of Matlab and non-Matlab exercises to provide ample practice solving problems - by hand and with computational tools More Biomedical and real-world examples More biomedical figures throughout For instructors using this text in their course, accompanying website includes support materials such as MATLAB data and functions needed to solve the problems, a few helpful routines, and all of the MATLAB examples. Visit www.elsevierdirect.com and search "Semmlow."

Anywhere-Anytime Signals and Systems Laboratory

Anywhere-Anytime Signals and Systems Laboratory
From MATLAB to Smartphones

by Nasser Kehtarnavaz,Fatemeh Saki

  • Publisher : Morgan & Claypool Publishers
  • Release : 2016-10-23
  • Pages : 210
  • ISBN : 1627055037
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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A typical undergraduate electrical engineering curriculum incorporates a signals and systems course. The widely used approach for the laboratory component of such courses involves the utilization of MATLAB to implement signals and systems concepts. This book presents a newly developed laboratory paradigm where MATLAB codes are made to run on smartphones, which most students already possess. This smartphone-based approach enables an anywhere-anytime platform for students to conduct signals and systems experiments. This book covers the laboratory experiments that are normally covered in signals and systems courses and discusses how to run MATLAB codes for these experiments on smartphones, thus enabling a truly mobile laboratory environment for students to learn the implementation aspects of signals and systems concepts. A zipped file of the codes discussed in the book can be acquired via the website http://sites.fastspring.com/bookcodes/product/SignalsSystemsBookcodes.

Wiley Survey of Instrumentation and Measurement

Wiley Survey of Instrumentation and Measurement
A Book

by Stephen A. Dyer

  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release : 2004-04-07
  • Pages : 1112
  • ISBN : 0471221651
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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In-depth coverage of instrumentation and measurement from the Wiley Encyclopedia of Electrical and Electronics Engineering The Wiley Survey of Instrumentation and Measurement features 97 articles selected from the Wiley Encyclopedia of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, the one truly indispensable reference for electrical engineers. Together, these articles provide authoritative coverage of the important topic of instrumentation and measurement. This collection also, for the first time, makes this information available to those who do not have access to the full 24-volume encyclopedia. The entire encyclopedia is available online-visit www.interscience.wiley.com/EEEE for more details. Articles are grouped under sections devoted to the major topics in instrumentation and measurement, including: * Sensors and transducers * Signal conditioning * General-purpose instrumentation and measurement * Electrical variables * Electromagnetic variables * Mechanical variables * Time, frequency, and phase * Noise and distortion * Power and energy * Instrumentation for chemistry and physics * Interferometers and spectrometers * Microscopy * Data acquisition and recording * Testing methods The articles collected here provide broad coverage of this important subject and make the Wiley Survey of Instrumentation and Measurement a vital resource for researchers and practitioners alike

The SQUID Handbook

The SQUID Handbook
Fundamentals and Technology of SQUIDs and SQUID Systems

by John Clarke,Alex I. Braginski

  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release : 2006-03-06
  • Pages : 409
  • ISBN : 3527604588
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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This two-volume handbook offers a comprehensive and well coordinated presentation of SQUIDs (Superconducting Quantum Interference Devices), including device fundamentals, design, technology, system construction and multiple applications. It is intended to bridge the gap between fundamentals and applications, and will be a valuable textbook reference for graduate students and for professionals engaged in SQUID research and engineering. It will also be of use to specialists in multiple fields of practical SQUID applications, from human brain research and heart diagnostics to airplane and nuclear plant testing to prospecting for oil, minerals and buried ordnance. The first volume contains chapters presenting the theory of SQUIDs, their fabrication from low- and high-temperature superconductors, the necessary readout electronics, and the design and performance of practical direct current (dc) and radio-frequency (rf) SQUIDs. This volume concludes with an overview of the most important SQUID system issues. An appendix summarizes briefly the foundations of superconductivity that are necessary to understand SQUIDs. A glossary and tables of units and constants are also included. The second volume of the handbook will deal with applications of SQUIDs and SQUID systems.

Astrophotography on the Go

Astrophotography on the Go
Using Short Exposures with Light Mounts

by Joseph Ashley

  • Publisher : Springer
  • Release : 2014-10-03
  • Pages : 320
  • ISBN : 3319098314
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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No longer are heavy, sturdy, expensive mounts and tripods required to photograph deep space. With today's advances in technology, all that is required is an entry-DSLR and an entry level GoTo telescope. Here is all of the information needed to start photographing the night sky without buying expensive tracking mounts. By using multiple short exposures and combining them with mostly ‘freeware’ computer programs, the effect of image rotation can be minimized to a point where it is undetectable in normal astrophotography, even for a deep-sky object such as a galaxy or nebula. All the processes, techniques, and equipment needed to use inexpensive, lightweight altazimuth and equatorial mounts and very short exposures photography to image deep space objects are explained, step-by-step, in full detail, supported by clear, easy to understand graphics and photographs. Currently available lightweight mounts and tripods are identified and examined from an economic versus capability perspective to help users determine what camera, telescope, and mount is the best fit for them. A similar analysis is presented for entry-level telescopes and mounts sold as bundled packages by the telescope manufacturers. This book lifts the veil of mystery from the creation of deep space photographs and makes astrophotography affordable and accessible to most amateur astronomers.

Advanced Digital Signal Processing and Noise Reduction

Advanced Digital Signal Processing and Noise Reduction
A Book

by Saeed V. Vaseghi

  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release : 2008-12-23
  • Pages : 544
  • ISBN : 0470740167
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Digital signal processing plays a central role in the development of modern communication and information processing systems. The theory and application of signal processing is concerned with the identification, modelling and utilisation of patterns and structures in a signal process. The observation signals are often distorted, incomplete and noisy and therefore noise reduction, the removal of channel distortion, and replacement of lost samples are important parts of a signal processing system. The fourth edition of Advanced Digital Signal Processing and Noise Reduction updates and extends the chapters in the previous edition and includes two new chapters on MIMO systems, Correlation and Eigen analysis and independent component analysis. The wide range of topics covered in this book include Wiener filters, echo cancellation, channel equalisation, spectral estimation, detection and removal of impulsive and transient noise, interpolation of missing data segments, speech enhancement and noise/interference in mobile communication environments. This book provides a coherent and structured presentation of the theory and applications of statistical signal processing and noise reduction methods. Two new chapters on MIMO systems, correlation and Eigen analysis and independent component analysis Comprehensive coverage of advanced digital signal processing and noise reduction methods for communication and information processing systems Examples and applications in signal and information extraction from noisy data Comprehensive but accessible coverage of signal processing theory including probability models, Bayesian inference, hidden Markov models, adaptive filters and Linear prediction models Advanced Digital Signal Processing and Noise Reduction is an invaluable text for postgraduates, senior undergraduates and researchers in the fields of digital signal processing, telecommunications and statistical data analysis. It will also be of interest to professional engineers in telecommunications and audio and signal processing industries and network planners and implementers in mobile and wireless communication communities.

Signal Processing for Intelligent Sensor Systems with MATLAB, Second Edition

Signal Processing for Intelligent Sensor Systems with MATLAB, Second Edition
A Book

by David C. Swanson

  • Publisher : CRC Press
  • Release : 2012
  • Pages : 616
  • ISBN : 1420043056
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Building on the unique features that made the first edition a bestseller, this second edition includes additional solved problems and web access to the large collection of MATLABTM scripts that are highlighted throughout the text. The book offers expanded coverage of audio engineering, transducers, and sensor networking technology. It also includes new chapters on digital audio processing, as well as acoustics and vibrations transducers. The text addresses the use of meta-data architectures using XML and agent-based automated data mining and control. The numerous algorithms presented can be applied locally or network-based to solve complex detection problems.

Advances in Future Manufacturing Engineering

Advances in Future Manufacturing Engineering
Proceedings of the 2014 International Conference on Future Manufacturing Engineering (ICFME 2014), Hong Kong, December 10-11, 2014

by Guohui Yang

  • Publisher : CRC Press
  • Release : 2015-06-11
  • Pages : 542
  • ISBN : 1315684624
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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The International Conference on Future Manufacturing Engineering (ICFME 2014) was held in Hong Kong, December 10-11, 2014. It gathered academics, industry managers and experts, manufacturing engineers, university students all interested or proficient in the field of manufacturing engineering, including research, design and development of systems, p

Digital Signal and Image Processing Using MATLAB

Digital Signal and Image Processing Using MATLAB
A Book

by Maurice Charbit

  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release : 2010-01-05
  • Pages : 763
  • ISBN : 0470394528
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Sensor Array Signal Processing

Sensor Array Signal Processing
A Book

by Prabhakar S. Naidu

  • Publisher : CRC Press
  • Release : 2009-06-08
  • Pages : 556
  • ISBN : 1439883130
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Since publication of the first edition of Sensor Array Signal Processing in 2000, the field it heralded has come of age. Sensor arrays helped usher in the age of wireless communication by meeting the increasing capacity requirements of ever growing wireless networks, but that is only one example of the number of uses served by this valuable technology across any number of fields. Extensively updated and expanded, Sensor Array Signal Processing, Second Edition covers a wide range of interrelated topics in array processing to provide an introduction to the field that one will not find in the literature. The book introduces new developments in the use of sensors in wireless networks and the use of distributed sensors for localization. It unravels layers of complexity to explore underlying basic principles of array signal processing, focusing on the common threads that exist in wavefield analysis, rather than on particular applications. Following an introduction to the basic equations governing different wavefields, the text provides updated coverage on current topics of interest. It analyzes various types of sensor configurations; focusing on those most useful for understanding array systems in practice — uniform linear and circular arrays. Fully updated with over 150 new pages, this new edition: Includes new chapters — emphasizing the use of sensor arrays in wireless communication and localization Adds new exercises and examples to the end of each chapter Provides information on emerging topics covering, distributed sensor array, multi-component sensors, space-time processing, azimuth/elevation estimation, wideband adaptive beamformation, and frequency invariant beamformation An invaluable tool for self-study, this book provides those working in or interested in medical imaging, astronomy, radar, communications, sonar, seismology or any field that studies propagating wavefields, with a highly accessible guide. It describes each concept in precise mathematical language complete with numerical examples, detailed illustrations, and practice exercises at the end of each chapter to reinforce concepts. As with the first edition, this volume also meets the needs of professors wishing to adopt the book for graduate-level courses in telecommunications and electrical engineering.