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Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction

Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction
A Book

by Haraldur Olafsson,Jian-Wen Bao

  • Publisher : Elsevier
  • Release : 2020-12-08
  • Pages : 364
  • ISBN : 0128157100
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction is a comprehensive work on the most current understandings of uncertainties and predictability in numerical simulations of the atmosphere. It provides general knowledge on all aspects of uncertainties in the weather prediction models in a single, easy to use reference. The book illustrates particular uncertainties in observations and data assimilation, as well as the errors associated with numerical integration methods. Stochastic methods in parameterization of subgrid processes are also assessed, as are uncertainties associated with surface-atmosphere exchange, orographic flows and processes in the atmospheric boundary layer. Through a better understanding of the uncertainties to watch for, readers will be able to produce more precise and accurate forecasts. This is an essential work for anyone who wants to improve the accuracy of weather and climate forecasting and interested parties developing tools to enhance the quality of such forecasts. Provides a comprehensive overview of the state of numerical weather prediction at spatial scales, from hundreds of meters, to thousands of kilometers Focuses on short-term 1-15 day atmospheric predictions, with some coverage appropriate for longer-term forecasts Includes references to climate prediction models to allow applications of these techniques for climate simulations

Parametric Uncertainty in Numerical Weather Prediction Models

Parametric Uncertainty in Numerical Weather Prediction Models
A Book

by Pirkka Ollinaho

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2014
  • Pages : 329
  • ISBN : 9789516978232
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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A Case Study of the Persistence of Weather Forecast Model Errors

A Case Study of the Persistence of Weather Forecast Model Errors
A Book

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2005
  • Pages : 40
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Decision makers could frequently benefit from information about the amount of uncertainty associated with a specific weather forecast. Automated numerical weather prediction models provide deterministic weather forecast values with no estimate of the likely error. This case study examines the day-to-day persistence of forecast errors of basic surface weather parameters for four sites in northern Utah. Although exceptionally low or high forecast errors on one day are more likely to be associated with a similar quality forecast the following day, the relationship is not considered strong enough to provide beneficial guidance to users without meteorological expertise. Days resulting in average forecast errors showed no persistence in the quality of the subsequent day's forecast. More sophisticated methods are needed to generate and portray weather forecast uncertainty information.

Monthly Weather Review

Monthly Weather Review
A Book

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 1999
  • Pages : 329
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Computational Science – ICCS 2019

Computational Science – ICCS 2019
19th International Conference, Faro, Portugal, June 12–14, 2019, Proceedings

by João M. F. Rodrigues,Pedro J. S. Cardoso,Jânio Monteiro,Roberto Lam,Valeria V. Krzhizhanovskaya,Michael H. Lees,Jack J. Dongarra,Peter M.A. Sloot

  • Publisher : Springer
  • Release : 2019-06-07
  • Pages : 663
  • ISBN : 3030227472
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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The five-volume set LNCS 11536, 11537, 11538, 11539 and 11540 constitutes the proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Computational Science, ICCS 2019, held in Faro, Portugal, in June 2019. The total of 65 full papers and 168 workshop papers presented in this book set were carefully reviewed and selected from 573 submissions (228 submissions to the main track and 345 submissions to the workshops). The papers were organized in topical sections named: Part I: ICCS Main Track Part II: ICCS Main Track; Track of Advances in High-Performance Computational Earth Sciences: Applications and Frameworks; Track of Agent-Based Simulations, Adaptive Algorithms and Solvers; Track of Applications of Matrix Methods in Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning; Track of Architecture, Languages, Compilation and Hardware Support for Emerging and Heterogeneous Systems Part III: Track of Biomedical and Bioinformatics Challenges for Computer Science; Track of Classifier Learning from Difficult Data; Track of Computational Finance and Business Intelligence; Track of Computational Optimization, Modelling and Simulation; Track of Computational Science in IoT and Smart Systems Part IV: Track of Data-Driven Computational Sciences; Track of Machine Learning and Data Assimilation for Dynamical Systems; Track of Marine Computing in the Interconnected World for the Benefit of the Society; Track of Multiscale Modelling and Simulation; Track of Simulations of Flow and Transport: Modeling, Algorithms and Computation Part V: Track of Smart Systems: Computer Vision, Sensor Networks and Machine Learning; Track of Solving Problems with Uncertainties; Track of Teaching Computational Science; Poster Track ICCS 2019 Chapter “Comparing Domain-decomposition Methods for the Parallelization of Distributed Land Surface Models” is available open access under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License via link.springer.com.

Numerical Weather Prediction Activities

Numerical Weather Prediction Activities
A Book

by National Meteorological Center (U.S.)

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 1970
  • Pages : 329
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports

Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports
A Book

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 1977
  • Pages : 329
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Weather Forecasting ; Atmospheric Ozone

Weather Forecasting ; Atmospheric Ozone
UCAR Forums, 1975 and 1976

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 1977
  • Pages : 41
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction

Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
A Book

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 1999
  • Pages : 329
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Short- and Medium-Range Numerical Weather Prediction

Short- and Medium-Range Numerical Weather Prediction
A Book

by Matsuno, T.

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 1987
  • Pages : 831
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Journal of Hydrometeorology

Journal of Hydrometeorology
A Book

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2007
  • Pages : 329
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Advances in Computational Oceanography

Advances in Computational Oceanography
A Book

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2006
  • Pages : 200
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis, Volume II

Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis, Volume II
Applications to Large-Scale Systems

by Dan G. Cacuci,Mihaela Ionescu-Bujor,Ionel Michael Navon

  • Publisher : CRC Press
  • Release : 2005-05-16
  • Pages : 368
  • ISBN : 9780203483572
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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As computer-assisted modeling and analysis of physical processes have continued to grow and diversify, sensitivity and uncertainty analyses have become indispensable scientific tools. Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis. Volume I: Theory focused on the mathematical underpinnings of two important methods for such analyses: the Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Procedure and the Global Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Procedure. This volume concentrates on the practical aspects of performing these analyses for large-scale systems. The applications addressed include two-phase flow problems, a radiative convective model for climate simulations, and large-scale models for numerical weather prediction.

Annales Geophysicae

Annales Geophysicae
A Book

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2009
  • Pages : 329
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Workshop Proceedings

Workshop Proceedings
ECMWF Workshop on Flow-dependent Aspects of Data Assimilation, 11-13 June 2007

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2007
  • Pages : 201
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Meteorologische Zeitschrift

Meteorologische Zeitschrift
A Book

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2007
  • Pages : 329
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Scientific and Technical Review

Scientific and Technical Review
A Book

by Great Britain. Meteorological Office

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 2001
  • Pages : 329
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Numerical Weather Prediction Activities

Numerical Weather Prediction Activities
A Book

by United States. National Weather Service

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 1972
  • Pages : 329
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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Mathematical Problems in Meteorological Modelling

Mathematical Problems in Meteorological Modelling
A Book

by András Bátkai,Petra Csomós,István Faragó,András Horányi,Gabriella Szépszó

  • Publisher : Springer
  • Release : 2016-11-08
  • Pages : 264
  • ISBN : 3319401572
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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This book deals with mathematical problems arising in the context of meteorological modelling. It gathers and presents some of the most interesting and important issues from the interaction of mathematics and meteorology. It is unique in that it features contributions on topics like data assimilation, ensemble prediction, numerical methods, and transport modelling, from both mathematical and meteorological perspectives. The derivation and solution of all kinds of numerical prediction models require the application of results from various mathematical fields. The present volume is divided into three parts, moving from mathematical and numerical problems through air quality modelling, to advanced applications in data assimilation and probabilistic forecasting. The book arose from the workshop “Mathematical Problems in Meteorological Modelling” held in Budapest in May 2014 and organized by the ECMI Special Interest Group on Numerical Weather Prediction. Its main objective is to highlight the beauty of the development fields discussed, to demonstrate their mathematical complexity and, more importantly, to encourage mathematicians to contribute to the further success of such practical applications as weather forecasting and climate change projections. Written by leading experts in the field, the book provides an attractive and diverse introduction to areas in which mathematicians and modellers from the meteorological community can cooperate and help each other solve the problems that operational weather centres face, now and in the near future. Readers engaged in meteorological research will become more familiar with the corresponding mathematical background, while mathematicians working in numerical analysis, partial differential equations, or stochastic analysis will be introduced to further application fields of their research area, and will find stimulation and motivation for their future research work.

Japanese Journal of Geophysics

Japanese Journal of Geophysics
A Book

by Anonim

  • Publisher : Unknown Publisher
  • Release : 1962
  • Pages : 329
  • ISBN : 9876543210XXX
  • Language : En, Es, Fr & De
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